← all past elections
Toss-up · 2014 House
New York House
In the 2014 New York House race, John Katko (R) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
R+18.8
Final polls said
R+2.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | R+10.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+3.0 | 21.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | D+5.0 | 23.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2014-10-230
Global Strategy Group2014-10-2115
Public Opinion Strategies2014-09-2213
Siena College2014-09-1718
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New York House race?
John Katko (R) won, by about 18.8 points (R+18.8).
When was the 2014 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2014.