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Toss-up · 2014 House
New York House
In the 2014 New York House race, John Katko (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+10.4
Final polls said
R+2.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | R+10.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+3.0 | 13.4 | ✗ |
| 3 | Global Strategy Group | D+5.0 | 15.4 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2014-10-230
Global Strategy Group2014-10-2115
Public Opinion Strategies2014-09-2213
Siena College2014-09-1718
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New York House race?
John Katko (R) won, by about 10.4 points (R+10.4).
When was the 2014 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.