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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Michigan Senate
In the 2014 Michigan Senate race, Gary C. Peters (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+13.3
Final polls said
D+12.7
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+13.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+12.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | EPIC-MRA | D+15.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+15.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Glengariff Group | D+15.1 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | D+11.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Target Insyght | D+10.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Rasmussen Reports | D+9.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 9 | Lake Research Partners | D+9.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 10 | Suffolk University | D+8.8 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | YouGov | D+8.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 12 | Denno Research | D+7.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 13 | Magellan Strategies | D+5.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 14 | We Ask America | D+3.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 15 | Clout Research | D+2.6 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 16 | ccAdvertising | R+1.0 | 14.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
32 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mitchell Research & Communications2014-11-021
Public Policy Polling2014-11-010
EPIC-MRA2014-10-272
Mitchell Research & Communications2014-10-271
Glengariff Group2014-10-232
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Michigan Senate race?
Gary C. Peters (D) won, by about 13.3 points (D+13.3).
When was the 2014 Michigan Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.