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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Michigan Senate
In the 2014 Michigan Senate race, Gary C. Peters (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+13.3
Final polls said
D+12.7
11 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+13.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mitchell Research & Communications | D+12.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | EPIC-MRA | D+15.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+15.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Glengariff Group | D+15.1 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | D+11.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Target Insyght | D+10.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Rasmussen Reports | D+9.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 9 | Lake Research Partners | D+9.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 10 | Suffolk University | D+8.8 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 11 | YouGov | D+8.0 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 12 | Denno Research | D+7.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 13 | Magellan Strategies | D+5.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 14 | We Ask America | D+3.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 15 | Clout Research | D+2.6 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 16 | ccAdvertising | R+1.0 | 14.3 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
32 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mitchell Research & Communications2014-11-021
Public Policy Polling2014-11-010
EPIC-MRA2014-10-272
Mitchell Research & Communications2014-10-271
Glengariff Group2014-10-232
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Michigan Senate race?
Gary C. Peters (D) won, by about 13.3 points (D+13.3).
When was the 2014 Michigan Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.