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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
New Jersey Senate
In the 2014 New Jersey Senate race, Cory A. Booker (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+13.5
Final polls said
D+16.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+14.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+16.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Quinnipiac University | D+11.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy | D+24.0 | 10.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2014-11-010
YouGov2014-10-202
Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy2014-10-2010
Fairleigh Dickinson University2014-10-162
Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy2014-10-075
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New Jersey Senate race?
Cory A. Booker (D) won, by about 13.5 points (D+13.5).
When was the 2014 New Jersey Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.