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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
New Mexico Senate
In the 2014 New Mexico Senate race, Tom Udall (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+11.1
Final polls said
D+9.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasmussen Reports | D+13.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+7.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+16.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Vox Populi Polling | D+6.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gravis Marketing | D+17.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2014-10-224
Vox Populi Polling2014-10-215
YouGov2014-10-205
Gravis Marketing2014-09-296
YouGov2014-09-267
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New Mexico Senate race?
Tom Udall (D) won, by about 11.1 points (D+11.1).
When was the 2014 New Mexico Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.