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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
New Mexico Senate
In the 2014 New Mexico Senate race, Tom Udall (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+11.1
Final polls said
D+9.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasmussen Reports | D+13.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research & Polling Inc. | D+7.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+16.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Vox Populi Polling | D+6.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gravis Marketing | D+17.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research & Polling Inc.2014-10-224
Vox Populi Polling2014-10-215
YouGov2014-10-205
Gravis Marketing2014-09-296
YouGov2014-09-267
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New Mexico Senate race?
Tom Udall (D) won, by about 11.1 points (D+11.1).
When was the 2014 New Mexico Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.