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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
South Carolina Senate
In the 2014 South Carolina Senate race, Lindsey Graham (R) won by about 17 points.
Actual result
R+17.4
Final polls said
R+22.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research | R+18.3 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | R+15.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. | R+20.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
YouGov2014-10-202
YouGov2014-10-207
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2014-10-163
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.2014-10-165
YouGov2014-09-260
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 South Carolina Senate race?
Lindsey Graham (R) won, by about 17.4 points (R+17.4).
When was the 2014 South Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.