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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Tennessee Senate
In the 2014 Tennessee Senate race, Lamar Alexander (R) won by about 30 points.
Actual result
R+30.0
Final polls said
R+17.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+22.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Middle Tennessee State University | R+18.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | R+13.0 | 17.0 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
4 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Middle Tennessee State University2014-10-2412
YouGov2014-10-208
Public Policy Polling2014-10-1817
YouGov2014-09-269
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Tennessee Senate race?
Lamar Alexander (R) won, by about 30.0 points (R+30.0).
When was the 2014 Tennessee Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.