← all past elections
Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Virginia Senate
In the 2014 Virginia Senate race, Mark R. Warner (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.8
Final polls said
D+8.0
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vox Populi Polling | D+4.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership | D+7.0 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+9.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Quinnipiac University | D+9.0 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | D+10.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+10.0 | 9.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-10-298
Vox Populi Polling2014-10-273
Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership2014-10-266
Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research2014-10-229
YouGov2014-10-209
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Virginia Senate race?
Mark R. Warner (D) won, by about 0.8 points (D+0.8).
When was the 2014 Virginia Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.