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Toss-up · 2016 House
Arizona House
In the 2016 Arizona House race, Tom O'Halleran (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+7.3
Final polls said
D+10.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Global Strategy Group | D+10.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | Moore Information Group | D+3.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Global Strategy Group2016-10-173
Moore Information Group2016-10-044
Global Strategy Group2016-09-240
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Arizona House race?
Tom O'Halleran (D) won, by about 7.3 points (D+7.3).
When was the 2016 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2016.