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Toss-up · 2016 House
Arizona House
In the 2016 Arizona House race, Martha McSally (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+13.9
Final polls said
R+19.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPA Intelligence | R+19.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
WPA Intelligence2016-09-145
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Arizona House race?
Martha McSally (R) won, by about 13.9 points (R+13.9).
When was the 2016 Arizona House election held?
It was held in November 2016.