← all past elections
Toss-up · 2016 House
Michigan House
In the 2016 Michigan House race, Jack Bergman (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+14.8
Final polls said
R+0.7
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harper Polling | R+5.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+1.0 | 15.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Impact Research2016-10-1116
Harper Polling2016-10-0810
Impact Research2016-09-1217
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Michigan House race?
Jack Bergman (R) won, by about 14.8 points (R+14.8).
When was the 2016 Michigan House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.