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Toss-up · 2016 House
Minnesota House
In the 2016 Minnesota House race, Richard M. Nolan (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.6
Final polls said
R+4.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+4.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+8.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2016-10-185
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-10-107
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Minnesota House race?
Richard M. Nolan (D) won, by about 0.6 points (D+0.6).
When was the 2016 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2016.