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Toss-up · 2016 House
Minnesota House
In the 2016 Minnesota House race, Richard M. Nolan (D) won by less than a point.
Actual result
D+0.6
Final polls said
R+4.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | R+4.0 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 2 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+8.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2016-10-185
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-10-107
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Minnesota House race?
Richard M. Nolan (D) won, by about 0.6 points (D+0.6).
When was the 2016 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.