← all past elections
Toss-up · 2016 House
New Mexico House
In the 2016 New Mexico House race, Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) won by about 30 points.
Actual result
D+30.3
Final polls said
D+20.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zia Poll | D+20.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zia Poll2016-10-1110
Zia Poll2016-09-2410
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New Mexico House race?
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) won, by about 30.3 points (D+30.3).
When was the 2016 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2016.