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Toss-up · 2016 House
New Mexico House
In the 2016 New Mexico House race, Ben Ray Luján (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+24.8
Final polls said
D+13.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zia Poll | D+13.0 | 11.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zia Poll2016-10-1112
Zia Poll2016-09-2412
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New Mexico House race?
Ben Ray Luján (D) won, by about 24.8 points (D+24.8).
When was the 2016 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2016.