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Toss-up · 2016 House
New Mexico House
In the 2016 New Mexico House race, Ben Ray Luján (D) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
D+24.8
Final polls said
D+13.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zia Poll | D+13.0 | 11.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Zia Poll2016-10-1112
Zia Poll2016-09-2412
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New Mexico House race?
Ben Ray Luján (D) won, by about 24.8 points (D+24.8).
When was the 2016 New Mexico House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.