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Toss-up · 2016 House
New York House
In the 2016 New York House race, Lee M. Zeldin (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+16.4
Final polls said
R+21.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | R+21.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena CollegeGrade A10-292016-10-2911
Siena CollegeGrade A10-012016-10-015
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New York House race?
Lee M. Zeldin (R) won, by about 16.4 points (R+16.4).
When was the 2016 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2016.