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Toss-up · 2016 House
New York House
In the 2016 New York House race, John J. Faso (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.2
Final polls said
EVEN
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | R+6.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+3.0 | 6.2 | ✗ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 6.2 | ✗ |
| 4 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+5.0 | 8.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena College2016-11-023
SurveyUSA2016-10-296
Public Policy Polling2016-10-236
Siena College2016-09-212
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2016-09-138
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New York House race?
John J. Faso (R) won, by about 3.2 points (R+3.2).
When was the 2016 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.