← all past elections
Toss-up · 2016 House
New York House
In the 2016 New York House race, John Katko (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+21.1
Final polls said
R+23.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | R+23.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMiss
Siena CollegeGrade A10-182016-10-1810
Siena CollegeGrade A09-262016-09-266
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New York House race?
John Katko (R) won, by about 21.1 points (R+21.1).
When was the 2016 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2016.