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Toss-up · 2016 Senate
New York Senate
In the 2016 New York Senate race, Charles E. Schumer (D) won by about 43 points.
Actual result
D+42.6
Final polls said
D+41.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siena College | D+42.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | D+46.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | Marist College | D+46.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-044
Siena College2016-11-030
SurveyMonkey2016-10-282
Siena College2016-10-153
Marist College2016-09-224
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New York Senate race?
Charles E. Schumer (D) won, by about 42.6 points (D+42.6).
When was the 2016 New York Senate election held?
It was held in November 2016.