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Toss-up · 2016 Senate
South Carolina Senate
In the 2016 South Carolina Senate race, Tim Scott (R) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
R+23.6
Final polls said
R+19.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | R+21.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-045
SurveyMonkey2016-10-289
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 South Carolina Senate race?
Tim Scott (R) won, by about 23.6 points (R+23.6).
When was the 2016 South Carolina Senate election held?
It was held in November 2016.