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Toss-up · 2017 Governor
New Jersey Governor
In the 2017 New Jersey Governor race, Philip Murphy (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.1
Final polls said
D+15.1
10 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gravis Marketing | D+14.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+14.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy | D+14.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+14.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | D+15.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+15.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | Suffolk University | D+15.6 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Change Research | D+16.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Emerson College | D+16.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Quinnipiac University | D+12.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2017-11-032
Quinnipiac University2017-11-022
Gravis Marketing2017-10-310
Rasmussen Reports2017-10-311
Monmouth University Polling Institute2017-10-290
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2017 New Jersey Governor race?
Philip Murphy (D) won, by about 14.1 points (D+14.1).
When was the 2017 New Jersey Governor election held?
It was held in November 2017.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.