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Toss-up · 2017 Governor

New Jersey Governor

In the 2017 New Jersey Governor race, Philip Murphy (D) won by about 14 points.

Actual result
D+14.1
Final polls said
D+15.1
10 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1Gravis MarketingD+14.00.1✓
2Monmouth University Polling InstituteD+14.00.1✓
3Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public PolicyD+14.00.1✓
4Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchD+14.00.1✓
5Rasmussen ReportsD+15.00.9✓
6Fairleigh Dickinson UniversityD+15.00.9✓
7Suffolk UniversityD+15.61.5✓
8Change ResearchD+16.01.9✓
9Emerson CollegeD+16.01.9✓
10Quinnipiac UniversityD+12.02.1✓

The polls behind it

17 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Change Research2017-11-032
Quinnipiac University2017-11-022
Gravis Marketing2017-10-310
Rasmussen Reports2017-10-311
Monmouth University Polling Institute2017-10-290

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2017 New Jersey Governor race?

Philip Murphy (D) won, by about 14.1 points (D+14.1).

When was the 2017 New Jersey Governor election held?

It was held in November 2017.

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