Toss-up · 2017 Governor

Virginia Governor

In the 2017 Virginia Governor race, Ralph S. Northam (D) won by about 9 points.

Actual result

D+8.9

Final polls said

D+3.3

24 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Quinnipiac University	D+9.0	0.1	✓
2	Change Research	D+6.0	2.9	✓
3	Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership	D+6.0	2.9	✓
4	Gravis Marketing	D+5.5	3.4	✓
5	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research	D+5.0	3.9	✓
6	The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government	D+5.0	3.9	✓
7	SurveyMonkey	D+5.0	3.9	✓
8	Princeton Survey Research Associates International	D+5.0	3.9	✓
9	Suffolk University	D+4.0	4.9	✓
10	Emerson College	D+3.0	5.9	✓
11	The New York Times/Siena College	D+3.0	5.9	✓
12	Public Policy Polling	D+3.0	5.9	✓
13	Monmouth University Polling Institute	D+2.0	6.9	✓
14	Trafalgar Group	D+1.8	7.1	✓
15	The Polling Company Inc.	D+1.0	7.9	✓
16	IMGE Insights	D+1.0	7.9	✓
17	Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	D+1.0	7.9	✓
18	Rasmussen Reports	EVEN	8.9	✗
19	Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research	EVEN	8.9	✗
20	Øptimus Analytics	R+3.0	11.9	✗
21	Hampton University Center for Public Policy	R+8.0	16.9	✗