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Toss-up · 2017 Governor
Virginia Governor
In the 2017 Virginia Governor race, Ralph S. Northam (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.9
Final polls said
D+3.3
24 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+9.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Change Research | D+6.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership | D+6.0 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gravis Marketing | D+5.5 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+5.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | D+5.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyMonkey | D+5.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | D+5.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Suffolk University | D+4.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Emerson College | D+3.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 11 | The New York Times/Siena College | D+3.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 12 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 13 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+2.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 14 | Trafalgar Group | D+1.8 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 15 | The Polling Company Inc. | D+1.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 16 | IMGE Insights | D+1.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 17 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+1.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 18 | Rasmussen Reports | EVEN | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 19 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | EVEN | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 20 | Øptimus Analytics | R+3.0 | 11.9 | ✗ |
| 21 | Hampton University Center for Public Policy | R+8.0 | 16.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
41 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The Polling Company Inc.2017-11-048
IMGE Insights2017-11-048
Monmouth University Polling Institute2017-11-047
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2017-11-044
Emerson College2017-11-036
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2017 Virginia Governor race?
Ralph S. Northam (D) won, by about 8.9 points (D+8.9).
When was the 2017 Virginia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2017.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.