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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
New York Governor
In the 2018 New York Governor race, Andrew Cuomo (D) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
D+24.0
Final polls said
D+15.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+23.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gravis Marketing | D+23.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Research Co. | D+17.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Siena College | D+13.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2018-11-027
Siena College2018-10-3011
Quinnipiac University2018-10-131
Gravis Marketing2018-10-061
Siena College2018-09-242
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 New York Governor race?
Andrew Cuomo (D) won, by about 24.0 points (D+24.0).
When was the 2018 New York Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.