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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
New York Governor
In the 2018 New York Governor race, Andrew Cuomo (D) won by about 23 points.
Actual result
D+22.9
Final polls said
D+15.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | D+23.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gravis Marketing | D+23.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Research Co. | D+17.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Siena College | D+13.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2018-11-027
Siena College2018-10-3011
Quinnipiac University2018-10-131
Gravis Marketing2018-10-061
Siena College2018-09-242
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 New York Governor race?
Andrew Cuomo (D) won, by about 22.9 points (D+22.9).
When was the 2018 New York Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.