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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Ohio Governor
In the 2018 Ohio Governor race, Mike DeWine (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.7
Final polls said
D+2.3
7 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Pulse Research & Polling | R+4.7 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | R+1.5 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | University of Akron Ray C. Bliss Institute of Applied Politics | R+1.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Morning Consult | R+1.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute | R+0.6 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cygnal | R+0.2 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | Research Co. | EVEN | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 8 | Marist College | EVEN | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 9 | Emerson College | D+3.5 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 10 | Trafalgar Group | D+3.6 | 7.3 | ✗ |
| 11 | Change Research | D+5.0 | 8.7 | ✗ |
| 12 | Gravis Marketing | D+5.0 | 8.7 | ✗ |
| 13 | Suffolk University | D+6.0 | 9.7 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 60% | 0.354 | ✗ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 60% | 0.364 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Change Research2018-11-039
Trafalgar Group2018-11-037
Research Co.2018-11-024
Cygnal2018-10-304
Gravis Marketing2018-10-299
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Ohio Governor race?
Mike DeWine (R) won, by about 3.7 points (R+3.7).
When was the 2018 Ohio Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.