Toss-up · 2018 Governor

Ohio Governor

In the 2018 Ohio Governor race, Mike DeWine (R) won by about 4 points.

Actual result

R+3.7

Final polls said

D+2.3

7 late polls · ✗

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	American Pulse Research & Polling	R+4.7	1.0	✓
2	Ipsos	R+1.5	2.2	✓
3	University of Akron Ray C. Bliss Institute of Applied Politics	R+1.0	2.7	✓
4	Morning Consult	R+1.0	2.7	✓
5	Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute	R+0.6	3.1	✓
6	Cygnal	R+0.2	3.5	✓
7	Research Co.	EVEN	3.7	✗
8	Marist College	EVEN	3.7	✗
9	Emerson College	D+3.5	7.2	✗
10	Trafalgar Group	D+3.6	7.3	✗
11	Change Research	D+5.0	8.7	✗
12	Gravis Marketing	D+5.0	8.7	✗
13	Suffolk University	D+6.0	9.7	✗