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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Wisconsin Governor
In the 2018 Wisconsin Governor race, Tony Evers (D) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
D+1.1
Final polls said
D+2.2
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research Co. | D+1.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marquette University Law School | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | Ipsos | D+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Emerson College | D+4.8 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marist College | D+8.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 60% | 0.163 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 52% | 0.229 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2018-11-020
Emerson College2018-10-304
Marquette University Law School2018-10-261
Ipsos2018-10-152
Marquette University Law School2018-10-052
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Wisconsin Governor race?
Tony Evers (D) won, by about 1.1 points (D+1.1).
When was the 2018 Wisconsin Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.