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Toss-up · 2018 House
Minnesota House
In the 2018 Minnesota House race, Collin Peterson (D) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
D+4.3
Final polls said
D+18.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impact Research | D+18.0 | 13.7 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 98% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 3 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 4 | The Economist | Dem 93% | 0.005 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cook Political | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Impact Research2018-09-0714
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Minnesota House race?
Collin Peterson (D) won, by about 4.3 points (D+4.3).
When was the 2018 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2018.