Toss-up · 2020 Governor

North Carolina Governor

In the 2020 North Carolina Governor race, Roy A. Cooper (D) won by about 5 points.

Actual result

D+4.5

Final polls said

D+10.6

17 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Monmouth University Polling Institute	D+5.0	0.5	✓
2	Frederick Polls	D+7.0	2.5	✓
3	Civiqs	D+7.0	2.5	✓
4	Cardinal Point Analytics (CardinalGPS)	D+1.4	3.2	✓
5	Meeting Street Insights	D+8.0	3.5	✓
6	Gravis Marketing	D+8.0	3.5	✓
7	The New York Times/Siena College	D+9.0	4.5	✓
8	Emerson College	D+9.9	5.4	✓
9	SSRS	D+10.0	5.5	✓
10	Harper Polling	D+10.0	5.5	✓
11	Impact Research	D+10.0	5.5	✓
12	KFF	D+10.0	5.5	✓
13	East Carolina University Center for Survey Research	D+11.0	6.5	✓
14	SurveyUSA	D+11.0	6.5	✓
15	RMG Research	D+12.0	7.5	✓
16	University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion	D+12.0	7.5	✓
17	Public Policy Polling	D+12.0	7.5	✓
18	Suffolk University	D+12.4	7.9	✓
19	Swayable	D+12.5	8.0	✓
20	Meredith College Department of History, Political Science, and International Studies	D+18.4	13.9	✓
21	Marist College	D+19.0	14.5	✓
22	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	D+19.0	14.5	✓