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Toss-up · 2020 House
California House
In the 2020 California House race, Mike Levin (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+6.3
Final polls said
D+16.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+20.0 | 13.7 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 91% | 0.009 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2020-10-1014
SurveyUSA2020-09-136
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 California House race?
Mike Levin (D) won, by about 6.3 points (D+6.3).
When was the 2020 California House election held?
It was held in November 2020.