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Toss-up · 2020 House
New York House
In the 2020 New York House race, Lee M. Zeldin (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+11.8
Final polls said
R+1.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GQR | R+1.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Economist | Rep 87% | 0.016 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 86% | 0.020 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 81% | 0.036 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 75% | 0.065 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 60% | 0.157 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
GQR2020-10-076
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 New York House race?
Lee M. Zeldin (R) won, by about 11.8 points (R+11.8).
When was the 2020 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2020.