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Toss-up · 2021 Governor
New Jersey Governor
In the 2021 New Jersey Governor race, Philip Murphy (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.2
Final polls said
D+7.4
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | National Research | D+3.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Trafalgar Group | D+4.2 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Emerson College | D+4.4 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Research Co. | D+6.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling | D+8.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Fairleigh Dickinson University | D+9.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | Stockton University William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy | D+9.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Schoen Cooperman Research | D+9.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+11.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2021-10-313
Trafalgar Group2021-10-301
Fairleigh Dickinson University2021-10-256
Rutgers University Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling2021-10-245
Monmouth University Polling Institute2021-10-238
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2021 New Jersey Governor race?
Philip Murphy (D) won, by about 3.2 points (D+3.2).
When was the 2021 New Jersey Governor election held?
It was held in November 2021.