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Toss-up · 2021 Governor
Virginia Governor
In the 2021 Virginia Governor race, Glenn Youngkin (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.9
Final polls said
R+0.8
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | InsiderAdvantage | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | KAConsulting | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Trafalgar Group | R+2.3 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Research Co. | R+1.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Echelon Insights | R+3.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cygnal | EVEN | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 7 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | EVEN | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 8 | co/efficient | R+4.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Suffolk University | D+0.4 | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 10 | Emerson College | D+0.9 | 2.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 12 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 13 | Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 14 | Repass | R+5.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 15 | Targoz Market Research | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 16 | Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 17 | YouGov | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 18 | Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 19 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 20 | Schoen Cooperman Research | D+4.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 21 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+8.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 22 | Data for Progress | D+5.0 | 6.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
33 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2021-10-311
Trafalgar Group2021-10-300
Targoz Market Research2021-10-295
InsiderAdvantage2021-10-290
Echelon Insights2021-10-281
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2021 Virginia Governor race?
Glenn Youngkin (R) won, by about 1.9 points (R+1.9).
When was the 2021 Virginia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2021.