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Toss-up · 2021 Governor
Virginia Governor
In the 2021 Virginia Governor race, Glenn Youngkin (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.9
Final polls said
R+0.8
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | InsiderAdvantage | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | KAConsulting | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Trafalgar Group | R+2.3 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Research Co. | R+1.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Echelon Insights | R+3.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cygnal | EVEN | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 7 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | EVEN | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 8 | co/efficient | R+4.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Suffolk University | D+0.4 | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 10 | Emerson College | D+0.9 | 2.8 | ✗ |
| 11 | The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 12 | Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 13 | Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 14 | Repass | R+5.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 15 | Targoz Market Research | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 16 | Virginia Commonwealth University L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 17 | YouGov | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 18 | Global Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 19 | Public Policy Polling | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 20 | Schoen Cooperman Research | D+4.0 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 21 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+8.0 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 22 | Data for Progress | D+5.0 | 6.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
33 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2021-10-311
Trafalgar Group2021-10-300
Targoz Market Research2021-10-295
InsiderAdvantage2021-10-290
Echelon Insights2021-10-281
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2021 Virginia Governor race?
Glenn Youngkin (R) won, by about 1.9 points (R+1.9).
When was the 2021 Virginia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2021.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.