Toss-up · 2022 Governor

New York Governor

In the 2022 New York Governor race, Kathy C. Hochul (D) won by about 7 points.

Actual result

D+7.3

Final polls said

D+7.2

13 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Dem

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Slingshot Strategies	D+6.0	1.3	✓
2	SurveyUSA	D+6.0	1.3	✓
3	Schoen Cooperman Research	D+6.0	1.3	✓
4	Emerson College	D+8.7	1.4	✓
5	McLaughlin & Associates	D+5.8	1.5	✓
6	Patriot Polling	D+5.1	2.2	✓
7	Research Co.	D+10.0	2.7	✓
8	Marist College	D+10.0	2.7	✓
9	ActiVote	D+10.0	2.7	✓
10	Quinnipiac University	D+4.0	3.3	✓
11	Civiqs	D+11.0	3.7	✓
12	Siena College	D+11.0	3.7	✓
13	Data for Progress	D+12.0	4.7	✓
14	YouGov	D+13.0	5.7	✓
15	KAConsulting	D+1.0	6.3	✓
16	Bold Decision	D+15.0	7.7	✓
17	Public Policy Polling	D+15.0	7.7	✓
18	Trafalgar Group	R+0.8	8.1	✗
19	co/efficient	R+1.0	8.3	✗