Toss-up · 2022 Governor

Ohio Governor

In the 2022 Ohio Governor race, Mike DeWine (R) won by about 25 points.

Actual result

R+25.0

Final polls said

R+19.9

16 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	Trafalgar Group	R+24.5	0.5	✓
2	Data for Progress	R+24.0	1.0	✓
3	Siena College	R+24.0	1.0	✓
4	Remington Research Group	R+23.0	2.0	✓
5	Research Co.	R+22.0	3.0	✓
6	Emerson College	R+20.8	4.2	✓
7	Targoz Market Research	R+30.0	5.0	✓
8	Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy	R+31.0	5.9	✓
9	Cygnal	R+18.9	6.1	✓
10	Suffolk University	R+18.0	7.0	✓
11	Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute	R+16.6	8.4	✓
12	Redfield & Wilton Strategies	R+16.0	9.0	✓
13	ActiVote	R+16.0	9.0	✓
14	Civiqs	R+14.0	11.0	✓
15	Center Street PAC	R+13.0	12.0	✓
16	Marist College	R+13.0	12.0	✓
17	Fallon Research & Communications	R+12.5	12.5	✓