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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Ohio Governor
In the 2022 Ohio Governor race, Mike DeWine (R) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
R+25.0
Final polls said
R+19.9
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | R+24.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Data for Progress | R+24.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Siena College | R+24.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Remington Research Group | R+23.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | Research Co. | R+22.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Emerson College | R+20.8 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Targoz Market Research | R+30.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Ohio Northern University Institute for Civics and Public Policy | R+31.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Cygnal | R+18.9 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 10 | Suffolk University | R+18.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 11 | Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute | R+16.6 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 12 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | R+16.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 13 | ActiVote | R+16.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 14 | Civiqs | R+14.0 | 11.0 | ✓ |
| 15 | Center Street PAC | R+13.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 16 | Marist College | R+13.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 17 | Fallon Research & Communications | R+12.5 | 12.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
30 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Civiqs2022-11-0611
Research Co.2022-11-053
Targoz Market Research2022-11-045
Data for Progress2022-11-041
Trafalgar Group2022-11-041
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Ohio Governor race?
Mike DeWine (R) won, by about 25.0 points (R+25.0).
When was the 2022 Ohio Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.