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Toss-up · 2022 Governor
Tennessee Governor
In the 2022 Tennessee Governor race, Bill Lee (R) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
R+32.0
Final polls said
R+24.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RABA Research | R+24.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
RABA Research2022-10-208
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2022 Tennessee Governor race?
Bill Lee (R) won, by about 32.0 points (R+32.0).
When was the 2022 Tennessee Governor election held?
It was held in November 2022.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.