← all past elections
Toss-up · 2024 Governor
North Carolina Governor
In the 2024 North Carolina Governor race, the Democrat (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+14.8
Final polls said
D+13.6
17 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+15.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | D+14.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | East Carolina University | D+15.7 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+16.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | SSRS | D+16.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Morning Consult | D+16.2 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | AtlasIntel | D+16.5 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | D+12.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | The New York Times/Siena College | D+18.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 10 | Emerson College | D+11.5 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 11 | Rasmussen Reports | D+9.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 12 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | D+8.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
AtlasIntel2024-11-032
AtlasIntel2024-11-014
Emerson College2024-10-313
AtlasIntel2024-10-305
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-293
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 North Carolina Governor race?
the Democrat (D) won, by about 14.8 points (D+14.8).
When was the 2024 North Carolina Governor election held?
It was held in November 2024.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.