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Toss-up · 2024 Governor
North Carolina Governor
In the 2024 North Carolina Governor race, the Democrat (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+14.8
Final polls said
D+13.6
17 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+15.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | D+14.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | East Carolina University | D+15.7 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+16.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | SSRS | D+16.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | Morning Consult | D+16.2 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | AtlasIntel | D+16.5 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | D+12.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | The New York Times/Siena College | D+18.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 10 | Emerson College | D+11.5 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 11 | Rasmussen Reports | D+9.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 12 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | D+8.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
AtlasIntel2024-11-032
AtlasIntel2024-11-014
Emerson College2024-10-313
AtlasIntel2024-10-305
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-293
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 North Carolina Governor race?
the Democrat (D) won, by about 14.8 points (D+14.8).
When was the 2024 North Carolina Governor election held?
It was held in November 2024.