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Toss-up · 2024 President
New York President
In the 2024 New York President race, Kamala D Harris (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.6
Final polls said
D+17.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Research Co. | D+16.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cygnal | D+17.8 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Siena College | D+18.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Split Ticket | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Race to the WH | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Fox News | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | Elections Daily | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | Silver Bulletin | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | The Economist | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 14 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2024-11-023
Cygnal2024-10-265
Siena College2024-10-155
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 New York President race?
Kamala D Harris (D) won, by about 12.6 points (D+12.6).
When was the 2024 New York President election held?
It was held in November 2024.