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Toss-up · 2024 President
South Carolina President
In the 2024 South Carolina President race, Donald J Trump (R) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
R+17.9
Final polls said
R+12.6
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Carolina University | R+13.1 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Citadel | R+12.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | CNalysis | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Race to the WH | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Fox News | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Elections Daily | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | Silver Bulletin | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 11 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 12 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 13 | Split Ticket | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 14 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The Citadel2024-10-216
East Carolina University2024-10-205
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 South Carolina President race?
Donald J Trump (R) won, by about 17.9 points (R+17.9).
When was the 2024 South Carolina President election held?
It was held in November 2024.