Toss-up · 2024 President

South Carolina President

In the 2024 South Carolina President race, Donald J Trump (R) won by about 18 points.

Actual result

R+17.8

Final polls said

R+12.6

2 late polls · ✓

VotePredictor Elections predicted

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Winner

Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#	Pollster	Final call	Miss	Called
1	East Carolina University	R+13.1	4.7	✓
2	The Citadel	R+12.0	5.8	✓

Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier

#	Forecaster	Win prob	Brier	Called
1	Sabato's Crystal Ball	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
2	Inside Elections	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
3	Cook Political	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
4	CNalysis	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
5	JHK Forecasts	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
6	FiveThirtyEight	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
7	Race to the WH	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
8	Fox News	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
9	Elections Daily	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
10	Silver Bulletin	Rep 99%	0.000	✓
11	The Economist	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
12	VotePredictor Elections	Rep 100%	0.000	✓
13	Split Ticket	Rep 97%	0.001	✓
14	DDHQ/Decision Desk	Rep 97%	0.001	✓