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Toss-up · 2025 Governor
New Jersey Governor
In the 2025 New Jersey Governor race, the Democrat (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.4
Final polls said
D+5.3
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Concord Public Opinion Partners | D+9.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Quinnipiac University | D+8.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+7.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | A2 Insights | D+4.9 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Suffolk University | D+4.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | Quantus Insights | D+3.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 10 | KAConsulting | D+3.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | Research Co. | D+2.0 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 12 | Emerson College | D+2.0 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 13 | Trafalgar/Insider Advantage | D+1.1 | 13.3 | ✓ |
| 14 | co/efficient | D+1.0 | 13.4 | ✓ |
| 15 | AtlasIntel | D+0.9 | 13.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2025-11-0312
Zogby Analytics2025-11-022
Suffolk University2025-10-2810
AtlasIntel2025-10-2814
Emerson College2025-10-2712
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2025 New Jersey Governor race?
the Democrat (D) won, by about 14.4 points (D+14.4).
When was the 2025 New Jersey Governor election held?
It was held in November 2025.