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Toss-up · 2025 Governor
New Jersey Governor
In the 2025 New Jersey Governor race, the Democrat (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+14.4
Final polls said
D+5.3
15 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zogby Analytics | D+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | GQR | D+12.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Concord Public Opinion Partners | D+9.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Quinnipiac University | D+8.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | D+7.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | A2 Insights | D+4.9 | 9.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Suffolk University | D+4.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | Quantus Insights | D+3.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 10 | KAConsulting | D+3.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | Research Co. | D+2.0 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 12 | Emerson College | D+2.0 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 13 | Trafalgar/Insider Advantage | D+1.1 | 13.3 | ✓ |
| 14 | co/efficient | D+1.0 | 13.4 | ✓ |
| 15 | AtlasIntel | D+0.9 | 13.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2025-11-0312
Zogby Analytics2025-11-022
Suffolk University2025-10-2810
AtlasIntel2025-10-2814
Emerson College2025-10-2712
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2025 New Jersey Governor race?
the Democrat (D) won, by about 14.4 points (D+14.4).
When was the 2025 New Jersey Governor election held?
It was held in November 2025.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.