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Toss-up · 2025 Governor
Virginia Governor
In the 2025 Virginia Governor race, the Democrat (D) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
D+15.4
Final polls said
D+9.8
20 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+15.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Research Co. | D+17.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | State Navigate | D+13.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 4 | Echelon Insights | D+12.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | D+12.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 6 | Emerson College | D+11.2 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | InsiderAdvantage | D+10.2 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | Roanoke College | D+10.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 9 | Gravis Marketing/Kaplan Strategies | D+10.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 10 | Clarity Campaign Labs | D+10.0 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 11 | AtlasIntel | D+9.0 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 12 | Quantus Insights | D+8.7 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 13 | Suffolk University | D+8.6 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 14 | A2 Insights | D+8.1 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 15 | Christopher Newport University | D+7.0 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 16 | Trafalgar Group | D+6.5 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 17 | co/efficient | D+5.0 | 10.4 | ✓ |
| 18 | Trafalgar/Insider Advantage | D+4.1 | 11.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
21 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Research Co.2025-11-032
Quantus Insights2025-11-037
InsiderAdvantage2025-11-035
Trafalgar Group2025-11-029
Emerson College2025-10-314
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2025 Virginia Governor race?
the Democrat (D) won, by about 15.4 points (D+15.4).
When was the 2025 Virginia Governor election held?
It was held in November 2025.