Virginia Senate
There's no live forecast for the 2026 Virginia Senate race: every poll on file asks about Mark Moran, who lost the Republican primary to Bert Mizusawa, and nobody has polled the new matchup yet.
Nominee changed — Mizusawa won the primary
Mark Moran ended his Senate bid on June 17, 2026 — and was running as an independent, not a Republican, so the polls behind this forecast never described a Dem-vs-Rep matchup at all. Republicans chose Bert Mizusawa in the August 4 primary. The nominee is known; every poll on file predates him, so the forecast returns once a pollster asks about Mizusawa vs Mark Warner.
No forecast is published for this race. Bert Mizusawa is the Republican nominee; the forecast returns once a pollster asks about the new matchup.
Mark Moran lost the primary on June 17, 2026. Because this seat has no forecast, it is held out of the Senate-control simulation rather than counted for either party. source
No forecast here — here's where the race is live
This seat is waiting on a poll of its new matchup. These 2026 races have a live forecast:
Latest news
- Trump names Jay Clayton as AI czar: Where he stands on AI safety
President Trump on Sunday named Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton as his new "AI czar," adding a different category of intelligence, the "artificial" kind, to the U.S. spy chief's portfolio.In a post on Truth Social, Trump said Clayton will lead a…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 4, 2026 
Cruz blocks Senate Democrats’ bid to pass AI safety billA Democratic trio attempted to pass an artificial intelligence bill via a unanimous consent request on Tuesday but were blocked on the Senate floor. Sens. Mark Warner (D-Va.), Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) and Andy Kim (D-N.J.) sought to pass their Artificial Intel…
Biztoc.com · September 29, 2026
Early Voting Underway In Virginia With Senate Race, 11 House Seats On BallotBy RICH TUCKER, The Daily Signal | September 19, 2026 As of Friday, early voting is underway in Virginia, and voters can cast ballots in person through Halloween ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms. Among other key races in the commonwealth, Democrat Sen. Mark Warn…
Biztoc.com · September 22, 2026- Shaheen, Coons, Reed, Warner, Warren, Kim Statement Ahead of President Xi Jinping's State Visit
Today, U.S. Senators Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), Ranking Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Chris Coons (D-DE), Ranking Member for Senate Defense appropriations, Patty Murray (D-WA), Vice Chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee, Jack Reed (D-RI…
Globalsecurity.org · September 22, 2026 
Early Voting Underway in Virginia With Senate Race, 11 House Seats on BallotAs of Friday, early voting is underway in Virginia, and voters can cast ballots in person through Halloween ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms. Among other key races in the commonwealth, Democrat Sen. Mark Warner is seeking a fourth term against Republican Bert Miz…
Daily Signal · September 19, 2026
- Early Voting Underway in Virginia With Senate Race, 11 House Seats on Ballot
As of Friday, early voting is underway in Virginia, and voters can cast ballots in person through Halloween ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms. Among other key races in the commonwealth, Democrat Sen. Mark Warner is seeking a fourth term against Republican Bert Miz…
Daily Signal · September 19, 2026 
Mizusawa Wins GOP Senate Primary in VirginiaA retired Army major general is now the GOP's pick to take on a long-serving Democratic senator in Virginia. Bert Mizusawa won Tuesday's Republican primary for US Senate and will face incumbent Sen. Mark Warner in November, the AP projects. With about 29% of …
Newser · August 5, 2026
Retired Gen. Bert Mizusawa fails to qualify for Virginia GOP's U.S. Senate primaryBert Mizusawa, a retired major general in the Army and former adviser to President Donald Trump's campaign, failed to qualify for the Virginia GOP's U.S. Senate primary, falling short of the signature requirement, according to his campaign.
Richmond.com · March 29, 2018- Former major general running for U.S. Senate in GOP primary calls Kaine divisive, supports Trump
Republican U.S. Senate candidate Bert Mizusawa formally joined the race last week with 66 percent of potential GOP primary voters undecided.
Richmond.com · March 11, 2018 - Retired Major General (And Trump campaign advisor) Bert Mizusawa announces his candidacy for US Senate!Investmentwatchblog.com · March 6, 2018
Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.
These polls are of the former matchup against Mark Moran and are kept as a record only — they no longer describe this race.
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstFrequently asked questions
Who is running in the 2026 Virginia Senate race?
Bert Mizusawa (R) is the Republican nominee, against Mark Warner (Democrat). The polls on file predate the primary: they ask about Mark Moran, who lost it.
Why is there no forecast for the 2026 Virginia Senate race?
The polls on file are of a matchup that no longer exists, so publishing a number from them would be misleading. The forecast returns as soon as a pollster surveys Bert Mizusawa against Mark Warner.
When is the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.