Virginia Senate
There's no live forecast for the 2026 Virginia Senate race: Mark Moran is off the ballot, and Republicans haven't named a replacement yet.
No Republican nominee
Mark Moran ended his Senate bid on June 17, 2026 — and was running as an independent, not a Republican, so the polls behind this forecast never described a Dem-vs-Rep matchup at all. Republicans choose a nominee to face Mark Warner in an August 4 primary (Kim Farington, Bert Mizusawa, David Williams).
No forecast is published for this race. A Republican nominee is due by August 4, 2026; the forecast returns once the new matchup is polled.
Mark Moran left the race on June 17, 2026. Because this seat has no forecast, it is held out of the Senate-control simulation rather than counted for either party. source
No forecast here — here's where the race is live
This seat has no candidate yet. These 2026 races have a live forecast:
Latest news
Independent Interviewers Expose How Mainstream Media Lets Politicians Off the HookTwo July podcasts hosted by progressive media stars and featuring leading Democratic lawmakers brought home the deep disconnect that exists between the way establishment politicians and media operate and the way both come to speak about the Middle East and th…
Common Dreams · August 18, 2026
Virginia Primary Results Set Up Fall MatchupsBy Rich Tucker via The Daily Signal | August 05, 2026 The stage is set for November’s congressional elections. The Associated Press called all of Virginia’s races less than an hour after polls closed at 7 p.m. Tuesday. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democrat Ma…
Biztoc.com · August 6, 2026
Mizusawa Wins GOP Senate Primary in VirginiaA retired Army major general is now the GOP's pick to take on a long-serving Democratic senator in Virginia. Bert Mizusawa won Tuesday's Republican primary for US Senate and will face incumbent Sen. Mark Warner in November, the AP projects. With about 29% of …
Newser · August 5, 2026
Virginia Senate race to battle top intel Dem takes shape after redistricting delaysA Republican nominee emerged to challenge Sen. Mark Warner in a three-way Virginia Senate race that includes independent candidate Mark Moran.
Fox News · August 4, 2026
Va. Republicans to pick nominee to face Sen. Mark WarnerVirginia Republicans will choose this week among three Fairfax County candidates who want the GOP nomination to challenge U.S. Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va.
Richmond.com · August 2, 2026
Headlines via NewsAPI, refreshed daily.
These polls are of the former matchup against Mark Moran and are kept as a record only — they no longer describe this race.
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstFrequently asked questions
Who is running in the 2026 Virginia Senate race?
Mark Warner (Democrat) is on the ballot. The Republican nominee is undetermined: Mark Moran left the race, and a replacement has not been named yet.
Why is there no forecast for the 2026 Virginia Senate race?
The polls on file are of a matchup that no longer exists, so publishing a number from them would be misleading. The forecast returns once a new Republican nominee is set and pollsters survey the new race.
When will the Republican nominee be chosen?
A Republican nominee is expected by Tuesday, August 4, 2026.
When is the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.