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Idaho U.S. Senate election, 2026

David Roth vs. Jim Risch. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast
Jim Risch favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+36.1
100%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 4 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

David Roth

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Todd Achilles · Independent
  • Natalie Fleming · Independent
  • Matt Loesby · Libertarian

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
Peak Insights[29][B]2026-06-07R+40.0
Peak Insights[23][A]2026-06-07R+40.0
The Bullfinch Group[30][A]2026-06-01R+17.0
The Bullfinch Group[24][B]2026-06-01R+26.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid R
IE
Solid R
Sabato
Safe R
WH
Safe R
Econ
Safe R
RCP
Solid R
DDHQ
Safe R
Fox
Solid R
VoteHub
Solid R
FPO
Safe R
ST
Safe R

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Candidate news

Book Review: Going Infinite

Published on October 24, 2023 3:00 PM GMTPreviously: Sadly, FTX I doubted whether it would be a good use of time to read Michael Lewis’s new book Going Infinite about Sam Bankman-Fried (hereafter SBF or Sam). What would I learn that I did not already know?…

Lesswrong.com · October 24, 2023
Republican incumbent Sen. Mike Crapo faces off against Democrat David Roth in Idaho's US Senate election

Republican Sen. Mike Crapo faces off against Democratic challenger David Roth in ruby-red Idaho.

Business Insider · November 8, 2022
Midterm updates | Roth wins Dem primary for Senate in Idaho

David Roth has won Idaho's Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.

Minneapolis Star Tribune · May 18, 2022
2523 - Trump's Second Impeachment Trial & Biden's Stimulus Issues w/ Benjamin Dixon & David Roth

Sam hosts Benjamin Dixon (@BenjaminPDixon) of the Benjamin Dixon Show and David Roth (@david_j_roth), editor at Defector and host of The Distraction Podcast, to discuss the week's top stories including the second senate impeachment trial of Donald Trump and t…

Majorityreportradio.com · February 12, 2021
@IDJoe4Congress -- Deleted after 12 minutes 9 minutes ago

Sammy Hager and David Roth are running for office in Idaho.

ProPublica · April 3, 2020
Chairman Risch Statement on Passage of the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act

U.S. Senator Jim Risch (R-Idaho), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, today delivered the following remarks ahead of Senate passage of The Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, which would impose critical new sanctions on …

Globalsecurity.org · Yesterday
Chairman Risch, Ranking Member Shaheen Meet with UK Foreign Secretary Miliband

Today, U.S. Senators Jim Risch (R-Idaho), Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.), Ranking Member released the statement below following their meeting with the Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom Ed Miliband.

Globalsecurity.org · August 5, 2026
Risch, Curtis Statement on Start of Venezuela Negotiations

U.S. Senators Jim Risch (R-Idaho), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and John Curtis (R-Utah), today released the statement below ahead of negotiations between Venezuela's opposition and the interim authorities scheduled to begin August 1.

Globalsecurity.org · July 30, 2026