Democratic
David Roth
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Jim Risch favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+37.2
100%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 5 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Jim Risch
Incumbent. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Todd Achilles · Independent
- Natalie Fleming · Independent
- Matt Loesby · Libertarian
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Change Research[42][D] | 2026-07-30 | R+30.0 |
| Peak Insights[23][A] | 2026-06-07 | R+40.0 |
| Peak Insights[31][B] | 2026-06-07 | R+40.0 |
| Peak Insights[43][A] | 2026-06-07 | R+40.0 |
| The Bullfinch Group | 2026-06-01 | R+26.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid R
as of Sep 15, 2026
DDHQ
Safe R
as of Sep 22, 2026
Econ
Likely R
as of Sep 22, 2026
FPO
Safe R
as of Sep 22, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Sep 22, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Sep 17, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Sep 20, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Aug 26, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Sep 19, 2026
ST
Safe R
as of Sep 21, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every U.S. Senate election in Idaho we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Book Review: Going Infinite
Published on October 24, 2023 3:00 PM GMTPreviously: Sadly, FTX I doubted whether it would be a good use of time to read Michael Lewis’s new book Going Infinite about Sam Bankman-Fried (hereafter SBF or Sam). What would I learn that I did not already know?…
Lesswrong.com · October 24, 2023
Republican incumbent Sen. Mike Crapo faces off against Democrat David Roth in Idaho's US Senate election
Republican Sen. Mike Crapo faces off against Democratic challenger David Roth in ruby-red Idaho.
Business Insider · November 8, 2022
Midterm updates | Roth wins Dem primary for Senate in Idaho
David Roth has won Idaho's Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.
Minneapolis Star Tribune · May 18, 2022
2523 - Trump's Second Impeachment Trial & Biden's Stimulus Issues w/ Benjamin Dixon & David Roth
Sam hosts Benjamin Dixon (@BenjaminPDixon) of the Benjamin Dixon Show and David Roth (@david_j_roth), editor at Defector and host of The Distraction Podcast, to discuss the week's top stories including the second senate impeachment trial of Donald Trump and t…
Majorityreportradio.com · February 12, 2021
@IDJoe4Congress -- Deleted after 12 minutes 9 minutes ago
Sammy Hager and David Roth are running for office in Idaho.
ProPublica · April 3, 2020
Chairman Risch Statement on House Passage of Russia Sanctions Bill
U.S. Senator Jim Risch (R-Idaho), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, today released the statement below on the House of Representatives' passage of the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, which would impose critical new…
Globalsecurity.org · September 17, 2026
An ugly radioactive surprise is buried deep inside Trump's deal for a loyal MAGA state
One of the most critical issues facing Idaho is one that has received little attention but has profound consequences for the future of our state – the agreement that would make Idaho the dumping ground for a third of the radioactive waste generated in our cou…
Raw Story · September 9, 2026
Chairman Risch Statement on Passage of the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act
U.S. Senator Jim Risch (R-Idaho), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, today delivered the following remarks ahead of Senate passage of The Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026, which would impose critical new sanctions on …
Globalsecurity.org · August 7, 2026