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West Virginia U.S. Senate election, 2026

Rachel Fetty Anderson vs. Shelley Moore Capito. Incumbent renominated.

VotePredictor forecast
Shelley Moore Capito favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+38.5
99%
chance to win

Fundamentals model · no poll: state lean, incumbency, the prior result and the national environment. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Rachel Fetty Anderson

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • S. Marshall Wilson · Constitution

Polls

No verified 2026 general-election poll is currently available in the feed for this race.

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid R
as of Oct 6, 2026
DDHQ
Safe R
as of Oct 6, 2026
Econ
Safe R
as of Oct 7, 2026
FPO
Safe R
as of Oct 6, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct 6, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct 1, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Oct 5, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct 6, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct 7, 2026
ST
Safe R
as of Oct 6, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every U.S. Senate election in West Virginia we hold a result for. A state elects two senators on separate cycles, so this covers both of its seats, not only the one on the ballot in 2026.

YearWinnerMargin
2020Shelley Moore Capito(R)R+43.3
2018Joe Manchin, III(D)D+3.3
2014Shelley Moore Capito(R)R+27.6
2010Joe Manchin, III(D)D+10.1
2008John D. Rockefeller, IV(D)D+27.5
2006Robert C. Byrd(D)D+54.1
2002John D. Rockefeller, IV(D)D+26.2
2000Robert C. Byrd(D)D+57.6

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.