Democratic
Tom Begich
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins.
VotePredictor forecast
Tom Begich favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+4.3
61%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 3 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Bernadette Wilson
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates: Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, Matt Heilala, Shelley Hughes, Henry Kroll, Lesil McGuire, James Parkin, Treg Taylor.
Other listed candidates
- Meda DeWitt · Independent
- Destry Payne Sr. · Independent
- Bill Walker · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | 2026-07-01 | D+1.8 |
| Alaska Survey Research | 2026-04-19 | D+8.0 |
| Lake Research Partners | 2026-02-11 | D+30.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Likely R
IE
Likely R
Sabato
Likely R
WH
Tossup
RCP
Tossup
Fox
Likely R
VoteHub
Tossup
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Tom Begich outlines goals for Alaska governor run
Former Anchorage Sen. Tom Begich sees the role of Alaska’s governor as building consensus while prioritizing the state’s education, energy, mental health and long-term fiscal health.
Fairbanks Daily News-Miner · January 7, 2026
Sarah Palin projected to lose
All three incumbents likely clinched final victory in Alaska’s statewide elections Friday, as the Alaska Division of Elections updated results with thousands of additional absentee, questioned and early ballots from this fall’s general election. Final unoffi…
Raw Story · November 19, 2022
Democrats appear likely to flip two Alaska Senate seats
Moderate Republicans and Democrats appeared likely to win several seats in the Alaska Senate from more conservative Republican incumbents and challengers Tuesday night, increasing the odds that the Alaska Senate will be controlled by a bipartisan coalition in…
Raw Story · November 9, 2022
Sarah Palin teases congressional run to fill Don Young's 'big shoes'
Just days after Rep. Don Young (R-AK) died, former Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK) teased that she might run for his seat.Speaking to Newsmax on Monday, Palin said that she would be "honored" to take over Young's seat and fill his "big shoes." Palin would have to run…
Raw Story · March 22, 2022
Alaska will send oil-wealth checks early because of virus
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) - Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy has announced that checks from the state's oil-wealth fund will begin going out to residents three months early because of "extraordinary times" brought on by the economic hardships caused by the coronavirus. …
seattlepi.com · May 21, 2020
Alaska school district erases Veterans Day from official calendar: ‘absolutely unacceptable’
Alaska GOP candidate Bernadette Wilson slams Anchorage School District for removing Veterans Day from calendar, calling it 'woke indoctrination.'
Fox News · December 7, 2025
Former talk radio host dials into Alaska’s race for governor, says energy is key
Bernadette Wilson joins an increasingly crowded governor's race that also includes Sen. Click Bishop and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, all Republicans.
Fox News · May 15, 2025
Groups in US State Get Creative to Help Voters With Election Changes
Drag performers shimmied up and down a walkway between café tables, as enthusiastic patrons took photos, waved cash and filled out ballots ranking the shows. The mock election, fueled by performances that brought the din of an Anchorage, Alaska, café to a r…
VOA News · August 13, 2022