Democratic
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Alaska governor election, 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vs. Bernadette Wilson. Term-limited.
VotePredictor forecast
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+4.3
61%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 3 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Bernadette Wilson
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates: Dave Bronson, Treg Taylor.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | 2026-07-01 | D+1.8 |
| Alaska Survey Research | 2026-04-19 | D+8.0 |
| Lake Research Partners | 2026-02-11 | D+30.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
as of Sep. 17, 2026
IE
Lean R
as of Sep. 17., 2026
Sabato
Tossup
as of Sep. 3, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Sep. 22, 2026
Silver
Safe D (flip)
as of Sep. 17, 2026
DDHQ
Tossup
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Alaska election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Democrats aim to unite behind one candidate in Alaska governor's race
Democrat Tom Begich has withdrawn from Alaska’s governor's race and is supporting the first-place finisher, fellow Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Abcnews.com · September 1, 2026
Democrats aim to unite behind one candidate in Alaska governor's race as they hope to flip the seat
Democrat Tom Begich has withdrawn from Alaska’s governor's race and is supporting the first-place finisher, fellow Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Abcnews.com · September 1, 2026
Alaska Democrats unite behind one candidate in bid to flip long-lost governor’s seat
Democrat Tom Begich withdrew from Alaska's governor's race on Monday. He endorsed fellow Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins to consolidate party efforts. This move aims to win a governor's seat not held by Democrats for decades. Republicans face their own ballo…
The Times of India · September 1, 2026
Democrats' Chances of Flipping Alaska Governor After Tom Begich Drops Out
Democrats are eyeing Alaska's gubernatorial race as a rare opportunity to win the governor's office for the first time in nearly three decades in a state that has generally favored Republicans in statewide elections. But with former state Senator Tom Begich s…
Biztoc.com · August 29, 2026
One Democrat to Face Three Republicans for Alaska Governor
Two Democrats and two Republicans have taken the top spots in Alaska’s crowded open primary for governor, according to The Associated Press. But the ballot this fall will reflect a different reality in a state that leans red, yet offers what Democrats believe…
Freerepublic.com · August 29, 2026
Alaska school district erases Veterans Day from official calendar: ‘absolutely unacceptable’
Alaska GOP candidate Bernadette Wilson slams Anchorage School District for removing Veterans Day from calendar, calling it 'woke indoctrination.'
Fox News · December 7, 2025
Former talk radio host dials into Alaska’s race for governor, says energy is key
Bernadette Wilson joins an increasingly crowded governor's race that also includes Sen. Click Bishop and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, all Republicans.
Fox News · May 15, 2025
Groups in US State Get Creative to Help Voters With Election Changes
Drag performers shimmied up and down a walkway between café tables, as enthusiastic patrons took photos, waved cash and filled out ballots ranking the shows. The mock election, fueled by performances that brought the din of an Anchorage, Alaska, café to a r…
VOA News · August 13, 2022