VotePredictor
← all governor races

Alabama governor election, 2026

Doug Jones vs. Tommy Tuberville. Term-limited.

VotePredictor forecast
Tommy Tuberville favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+19.9
99%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Doug Jones

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
RMG Research2026-09-25R+13.0
yes. every kid.2026-07-11R+8.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Solid R
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Likely R
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct. 13, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every Alabama election for governor we hold a result for.

YearWinnerMargin
2022Kay Ivey(R)R+37.7
2018Kay Ivey(R)R+19.1
2006Bob Riley(R)R+15.9

Candidate news

'That was no coincidence!' Ex-Alabama senator explains Trump mystery puzzling pundits

Many observers wondered why President Donald Trump would hold a rally in deep-red Alabama a month before the midterms. Former Sen. Doug Jones (D-Ala.) says the timing gave it away.Jones, now the Democratic nominee for Alabama governor, appeared on MS NOW's "T…

Raw Story · October 3, 2026
Alabama Democrats see Trump’s Mobile rally as a sign of GOP nerves

When President Donald Trump announced plans to campaign in Mobile for Alabama’s Republican statewide and congressional candidates, former Sen. Doug Jones figured the president was “trolling him.” “We were coming to Mobile regardless of the fact that Donald Tr…

Biztoc.com · October 2, 2026
Trump makes 'confounding decision' in deep-red state as Dems make other gains: report

President Donald Trump is tentatively planning a rally in deep-red Alabama next week, even as Democrats signal they may spend money in Kansas and other Republican strongholds they once considered out of reach.Politico reported that the rally is penciled in fo…

Raw Story · September 25, 2026
EXCLUSIVE: Close Trump ally admits he doesn't read — as only his opinion matters

WASHINGTON — The Republican candidate to be Alabama’s next governor admitted Thursday he actively avoids reading anything — because only his opinion matters to him."No, I read very little," Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-AL) told Raw Story. "I want my own opinion, …

Raw Story · September 24, 2026
Will This Bill Save Social Security, or Kill It?

Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …

The New Republic · August 6, 2026
Trump and Vance head to GOP strongholds, looking to give Republicans a midterm boost

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance will both hit the campaign trail on Thursday, but they will be heading to heavily Republican areas to shore up lagging enthusiasm in their party ahead of next month’s midterm elections. Tru…

Yahoo Entertainment · October 1, 2026
It’s terrifying when you think about this

We haven’t discussed the pressing question of just how many airline personnel are members of some furry subculture. Luckily Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-His Own Private Idaho) is making this a matter of discussion or more likely monologue on the floor of the US S…

Lawyersgunsmoneyblog.com · September 28, 2026
Sen Tuberville Admits ‘I Read Very Little’ Because No Other Opinion Matters

Raw Story reporter Matt Laslo recently got quite an admission from Alabama Senator and gubernatorial candidate Tommy Tuberville. “I read very little," Tuberville said. "I want my own opinion, not somebody else's." Tuberville soon proved he is as ignorant as h…

Crooksandliars.com · September 26, 2026