VotePredictor
← all governor races

Georgia governor election, 2026

Keisha Lance Bottoms vs. Rick Jackson. Term-limited.

VotePredictor forecast
Keisha Lance Bottoms favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+0.8
53%
chance to win

Poll-driven model · 7 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →

Democratic

Keisha Lance Bottoms

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Rick Jackson

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

PollsterDateMargin
InsiderAdvantage2026-08-17R+0.1
Quantus Insights2026-08-01D+1.5
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research2026-07-16D+2.0
Wick2026-06-30R+0.5
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2026-06-27D+5.0
Concord Public Opinion Partners2026-06-02D+10.0
Echelon Insights2026-04-09D+6.0

Other forecasts

Cook
Tossup
as of Sep. 17, 2026
IE
Tossup
as of Sep. 17., 2026
Sabato
Tossup
as of Sep. 3, 2026
RCP
Tossup
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Fox
Tossup
as of Sep. 22, 2026
Silver
Likely D (flip)
as of Sep. 17, 2026
DDHQ
Lean D (flip)
as of Sep. 17, 2026

Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗

Past results

Every Georgia election for governor we hold a result for.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Transcript: Trump’s Pollster Drops Bomb on GOP as Midterm Panic Erupts

The following is a lightly edited transcript of the September 21 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. I’m your host, Greg Sargent.A new po…

The New Republic · Yesterday
Dem. Gov. Candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms 'Loves' Idea of Martha's Vineyard's Added Homebuyers' Fee for 'Land Bank': It 'Can Be Replicated'

Democrat candidate for Georgia governor Keisha Lance Bottoms 'absolutely loves' an idea that would make it harder for Georgia families to buy homes, according to audio obtained by Breitbart News. The post Dem. Gov. Candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms ‘Loves’ Idea …

Breitbart News · September 17, 2026
How Keisha Lance Bottoms and David Crowley Can Make Political History

Many Americans who live in suburbs and rural areas don’t like the big, left-leaning metropolitan areas nearby. And while it’s hard to say exactly how much that anti-urban resentment is tied to race, we know that big cities often have high percentages of peopl…

The New Republic · September 14, 2026
Beloved dog walker was stabbed more than 50 times in a park. Her killer vanished. Now the city's former Democrat mayor wants to run Georgia on her 'very strong' crime record

Keisha Lance Bottoms claimed she's a 'proven fighter,' but her former Atlanta constituents are questioning if the 56-year-old is truly ready to run the Peach State.

Dailymail.com · September 13, 2026
Democrat Nominee for GA Governor Keisha Lance Bottoms: Black Women Conditioned into 'Post-Traumatic Slave Mentality'

Black women are conditioned into a "post-traumatic slave mentality," Democratic nominee for Georgia governor Keisha Lance Bottoms claims. The post Democrat Nominee for GA Governor Keisha Lance Bottoms: Black Women Conditioned into ‘Post-Traumatic Slave Mental…

Breitbart News · September 13, 2026
Republican overheard in audio claiming gov will surge troops on Election Day

A spokesman for Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp disputes claims from the Republican gubernatorial nominee that he would deploy the National Guard to monitor the November elections.GOP gubernatorial nominee Rick Jackson made the claim during an Aug. 13 rally in Columb…

Raw Story · August 25, 2026
Georgia GOP candidate Rick Jackson faces an immigration scandal at his company

As billionaire Republican Rick Jackson blanketed Georgia’s airwaves this spring with ads vowing a crackdown on undocumented immigrants illegal aliens if elected governor, a company in his healthcare empire was in the throes of a costly legal battle over the t…

CNN · August 20, 2026
Keisha Lance Bottoms Chances of Defeating GOP to Win Georgia Governor Race

Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms and Republican Rick Jackson are locked in a tight race for Georgia governor, according to a new poll that shows Bottoms narrowly ahead, though the difference is within the poll's margin of error. Democrats hope to reclaim the gov…

Biztoc.com · August 11, 2026