Democratic
Hannah Pingree
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Hannah Pingree favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+12.3
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 15 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Bobby Charles
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Rick Bennett · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government | 2026-10-05 | D+13.0 |
| FiftyPlusOne | 2026-10-04 | D+11.6 |
| Marist University | 2026-10-04 | D+12.0 |
| CBS/YouGov | 2026-10-01 | D+12.0 |
| co/efficient | 2026-09-30 | D+9.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena University | 2026-09-22 | D+13.0 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research | 2026-09-22 | D+13.0 |
| FiftyPlusOne | 2026-09-22 | D+11.1 |
| Fabrizio Ward/ Impact Research | 2026-09-22 | D+13.0 |
| New York Times/Portland Press Herald/ Siena University | 2026-09-22 | D+14.0 |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-09-21 | D+8.0 |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | 2026-09-14 | D+11.0 |
| University of Massachusetts/YouGov | 2026-09-14 | D+11.0 |
| YouGov | 2026-09-08 | D+11.0 |
| SSRS | 2026-09-06 | D+13.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Likely D
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Solid D
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Likely D
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Likely D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Maine election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Troy Jackson Has Edge in Maine Senate Race
A new AARP Maine poll in Maine finds Troy Jackson (D) leading Susan Collins (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 47%. Maine Senate Race Troy Jackson (D) 50% Susan Collins (R) 47% AARP Maine poll · likely voters The same poll in Maine finds Hannah Pingree (…
Politicalwire.com · October 1, 2026
'Atom bomb' drops in massive race as Republican's sister turns on him in surprise op-ed
Just two weeks after Maine gubernatorial candidate Bobby Charles drew national headlines with his comments about sending immigration agents to polling stations, the Republican’s sister publicly explained why she won’t be voting for him in November, calling ou…
Raw Story · September 9, 2026
'Atom Bomb Dropped' in Maine Gubernatorial Race as Bobby Charles' Sister Backs His Democratic Opponent
Just two weeks after Maine gubernatorial candidate Bobby Charles drew national headlines with his comments about sending immigration agents to polling stations, the Republican's sister publicly explained why she won't be voting for him in November, calling ou…
Common Dreams · September 9, 2026
'I'm Going to Ask Tom': Maine GOP Nominee for Governor Calls for ICE at Polling Stations
By letting attendees at a Maine Young Republicans event in on his "secret" plan for the midterm elections, the state's Republican nominee for governor detailed a proposal that, according to one public policy think tank, is wholly illegal. In an audio clip rel…
Common Dreams · August 27, 2026
'We Must Pass Medicare for All,' Says Troy Jackson as 12th Maine Maternity Unit Closes in 11 Years
Democratic US Senate candidate Troy Jackson on Friday was among the Maine leaders expressing anger over the decision by MaineHealth, the state's largest nonprofit healthcare system, to close a labor and delivery unit that's crucial to families in three counti…
Common Dreams · August 7, 2026
'Terrorized' battlegrounds turn into 'ghost towns' as ICE swarms early voting
As early voting in the midterm elections gets underway, voting and immigrant rights organizers across the country are bracing for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement deployments at polling places.In south Texas and Maine, organizers are mobilizing volunt…
Raw Story · October 14, 2026
Climate Change Is on the Ballot—Even If Dems Aren’t Saying Those Words
In Maine, as everywhere else in the country, one of this year’s biggest electoral issues is the cost of energy. The price of electricity is rising at the third-highest rate in the nation, and heating oil—which Maine relies on more than any other state—now cos…
The New Republic · October 9, 2026
The One Issue the Midterm Victors Must Solve? Corruption
One of the most potent midterm election slogans was offered by the Republicans in 1946: “HAD ENOUGH?” The GOP swept into power after years of New Deal dominance.We like to say that what counts is not what you are against, but what you are for. Not always, tho…
brennancenter.org · October 7, 2026