Democratic
Jocelyn Benson
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Jocelyn Benson favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+5.5
69%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 11 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
John James
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Anthony Hudson · Libertarian
- Karla Wagner · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| EPIC-MRA | 2026-07-31 | D+9.0 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2026-07-29 | D+2.0 |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | 2026-07-24 | D+5.0 |
| TIPP Insights | 2026-05-23 | D+11.0 |
| Mitchell Research | 2026-05-07 | D+12.0 |
| Glengariff Group | 2026-05-01 | D+5.0 |
| Impact Research | 2026-03-29 | D+4.0 |
| Michigan State University / YouGov | 2026-03-24 | D+7.0 |
| Impact Research | 2026-02-16 | D+3.0 |
| Glengariff Group | 2026-02-02 | EVEN |
| Glengariff Group | 2026-01-06 | R+2.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Lean D
IE
Tilt D
Sabato
Lean D
WH
Lean D
RCP
Tossup
Fox
Lean D
VoteHub
Lean D
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Yes, El-Sayed May Lose. But Democrats Shouldn’t Try to Make It Happen.
The reaction so far among establishment Democrats to Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow win in the Michigan Democratic Senate primary has been surprisingly encouraging. Almost instantly after the race was called Wednesday morning, Governor Gretchen Whitmer endorsed El-S…
The New Republic · Yesterday
Transcript: Who Is Abdul El-Sayed? His Harsh Trump Takedown Is a Clue.
The following is a lightly edited transcript of the August 6 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. I’m your host, Greg Sargent.After Abdul …
The New Republic · August 6, 2026
Republicans' Chances of Flipping Michigan as El-Sayed, Benson Win Primaries
Democrats Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson were projected to win their party’s nominations in Michigan’s Senate and gubernatorial races on Tuesday, setting the contours for some of the most closely watched elections in the 2026 midterms. El-Sayed, a progress…
Biztoc.com · August 5, 2026
Michigan Republican governor primary results: John James, Perry Johnson - Bridge Michigan
Michigan Republican governor primary results: John James, Perry JohnsonBridge Michigan Michigan Governor Primary 2026: Live Election Results, Benson vs. SwansonThe New York Times Michigan’s top election official wins Democratic primary for governor, advances …
Slashdot.org · August 5, 2026
GOP Rep. John James to face off against Democrat Jocelyn Benson in Michigan governor race
Rep. John James clinched the Republican nomination for Michigan governor.
New York Post · August 5, 2026
Trump-Backed John James Wins Michigan GOP Governor Primary
Republican Congressman John James has won Michigan's Republican primary for governor, earning the party's nomination for the November general election. According to the report, James, who was endorsed by President Donald Trump, defeated businessman Perry Joh…
Biztoc.com · August 5, 2026
Rep. John James Wins Republican Nomination for Michigan Governor
Rep. John James has won the Republican nomination in the Michigan governor's race over businessman Perry Johnson. The post Rep. John James Wins Republican Nomination for Michigan Governor appeared first on Breitbart.
Breitbart News · August 5, 2026
Trump-backed Black Republican beats back smears and fights to kill haunting statewide curse
Republican Representative John James won Michigan's Republican primary for governor Tuesday, beating businessman Perry Johnson after fending off weeks of personal attacks.
Dailymail.com · August 5, 2026