Democratic
Jocelyn Benson
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Jocelyn Benson favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+9.1
90%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 18 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
John James
Sitting U.S. Representative. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Anthony Hudson · Libertarian
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | 2026-09-20 | D+17.0 |
| Emerson College | 2026-09-14 | D+6.7 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government | 2026-09-14 | D+12.0 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2026-08-28 | D+4.0 |
| Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | 2026-08-20 | D+9.0 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research | 2026-08-11 | D+5.0 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 2026-08-10 | D+5.0 |
| EPIC-MRA | 2026-07-31 | D+9.0 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2026-07-29 | D+2.0 |
| Glengariff Group, Inc. | 2026-07-24 | D+5.0 |
| TIPP Insights | 2026-05-23 | D+11.0 |
| Mitchell Research | 2026-05-07 | D+12.0 |
| Glengariff Group | 2026-05-01 | D+5.0 |
| Impact Research | 2026-03-29 | D+4.0 |
| Michigan State University / YouGov | 2026-03-24 | D+7.0 |
| Impact Research | 2026-02-16 | D+3.0 |
| Glengariff Group | 2026-02-02 | D+5.0 |
| Glengariff Group | 2026-01-06 | D+2.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Lean D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
IE
Tilt D
as of Sep. 17., 2026
Sabato
Lean D
as of Sep. 3, 2026
RCP
Lean D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Fox
Lean D
as of Sep. 22, 2026
Silver
Likely D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
DDHQ
Lean D
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Michigan election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Michigan: El-Sayed Polling Weaker than Other Statewide Democrats
Democrat Senate candidate Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed is polling weaker than other statewide Democrats in Michigan, recent surveys revealed. An Emerson College poll looked at the races and showed Michigan likely voters choosing El-Sayed over Republican candi…
Freerepublic.com · September 17, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed’s Lead in Michigan Polls Compared to Jocelyn Benson
Democratic hopeful Abdul El-Sayed leads in two new polls of the Michigan Senate race released on Thursday, but he holds a slimmer lead than his Democratic counterpart in the governor's race, Jocelyn Benson. The Senate race is one of the most competitive conte…
Biztoc.com · September 17, 2026
Republican's ‘disgusting’ 9/11-themed attack ad earns widespread derision
Republican Michigan gubernatorial nominee Rep. John James received widespread condemnation Friday after releasing a 9/11-themed campaign ad attacking his Democratic opponent Jocelyn Benson, with critics blasting its central claim as false.“Jocelyn Benson st…
Raw Story · September 11, 2026
'Here's my secret': Republican plot flagged as way to terrorize voters — and 'sow chaos'
When MAGA supporters fueled by conspiracy theories angrily protested Democrat Joe Biden’s 2020 win in Arizona, it fell to Recorder Adrian Fontes to certify the results in Maricopa, the state’s largest county surrounding Phoenix.“I’ve been through the fire in …
Raw Story · September 11, 2026
BREAKING: U.S. Supreme Court Justice Kavanaugh Makes Decision On Emergency Hearing on Michigan Citizens Only Vote Petition
Only moments ago, Justice Brett Kavanaugh denied Americans for Citizen Voting–Michigan’s (ACVM) emergency request that the U.S. Supreme Court order their proof-of-citizenship and photo-ID constitutional amendment onto Michigan’s November 3 ballot. The ACVM gr…
Freerepublic.com · September 4, 2026
Kash Patel Reveals Alarming Plan to Have FBI Monitor the Polls
FBI Director Kash Patel all but confirmed that the bureau’s agents will be deployed to voting locations this November.As Patel testified before the Senate Judiciary Committee Tuesday, multiple Democratic senators asked him whether the FBI would be at polling …
The New Republic · September 15, 2026
Republicans corner Trump's trade guy behind closed doors as tariffs start to bite
House Republicans confronted U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer behind closed doors Wednesday, pressing him on the economic damage President Trump's escalating trade war with Canada could inflict on their home states — just days before a fresh round of …
Raw Story · September 2, 2026
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026