Democratic
Deb Haaland
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Deb Haaland favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+6.4
92%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 3 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Gregg Hull
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2026-10-09 | D+7.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 2026-09-30 | D+6.0 |
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2026-08-28 | D+6.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Likely D
as of Oct. 14, 2026
Fox
Solid D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Likely D
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Lean D
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe D
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid D
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every New Mexico election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
New Mexico Governor Hopeful Deb Haaland Rages at ICE, Omits Illegal Alien’s Criminal History
“I will not stay silent while ICE terrorizes our communities.” The post New Mexico Governor Hopeful Deb Haaland Rages at ICE, Omits Illegal Alien’s Criminal History first appeared on Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion.
Legalinsurrection.com · August 27, 2026
Former interior secretary Deb Haaland talks about her new memoir, 'A Voice Like Mine'
NPR's A Martínez speaks with former interior secretary and Democratic congresswoman from New Mexico, Deb Haaland, about her new memoir "A Voice Like Mine."
NPR · July 8, 2026
Haaland endorses Garcia Richard after Toulouse Oliver exit (NM Dem Lt. Governor race)
Deb Haaland is backing fellow far-leftist, Land Commissioner Stephanie Garcia Richard, for lieutenant governor, ending days of jockeying among New Mexico Democrats after Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver abruptly suspended her campaign just weeks afte…
Freerepublic.com · June 27, 2026
Doug Burgum Puts Private Profits Over Public Lands and Tribal Rights
When the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee held confirmation hearings for current Department of Interior head Doug Burgum, he made it quite clear that he viewed public lands, lands belonging to the American public, as an asset on “America’s balanc…
Common Dreams · June 12, 2026
Deb Haaland Wins Nomination in New Mexico Governor’s Race - The New York Times
Deb Haaland Wins Nomination in New Mexico Governor’s RaceThe New York Times New Mexico Governor Primary Election 2026 Live ResultsNBC News Live Results: New Mexico midterm primariesPBS Gregg Hull winner of Republican nomination for New Mexico governorKRQE New…
Slashdot.org · June 3, 2026
Miyagishima (Onetime Dem) Drops Out of Governor’s Race, endorses Hull (Republican)
Former Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima, who ran for governor as a Democrat and then as an independent, is endorsing Republican Gregg Hull. Miyagishima ended his bid for New Mexico governor after weighing a Supreme Court appeal to stay on the ballot. Miyagish…
Freerepublic.com · July 17, 2026
Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland wins Democratic nomination in New Mexico governor’s race - NBC News
Former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland wins Democratic nomination in New Mexico governor’s raceNBC News New Mexico Governor Primary Election 2026 Live ResultsNBC News Live Results: New Mexico midterm primariesPBS Primary night live blog: Most primaries settled…
Slashdot.org · June 3, 2026
Gregg Hull wins New Mexico GOP gubernatorial primary, setting up bid to flip governor’s office
New Mexico's GOP gubernatorial primary produced a nominee Tuesday as Republicans aim to reclaim the governor's office for the first time since 2019.
Fox News · June 3, 2026