Democratic
Aaron Ford
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Nevada governor election, 2026
Aaron Ford vs. Joe Lombardo. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Joe Lombardo favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+6.6
66%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 3 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Joe Lombardo
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Christopher Battenberg · Independent
- Max Beck · Independent
- Danielle Ford · Independent
- Jordan Koteras · Independent
- Allen Rheinhart · Independent
- Emilio Rodriguez · Independent
- John Scott · Independent
- Gracie Vanburn · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group | 2026-05-11 | R+3.0 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-03-13 | R+1.0 |
| Hart Research Associates | 2026-02-17 | R+3.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Tossup
IE
Tilt R
Sabato
Lean R
WH
Lean R
RCP
Tossup
Fox
Tossup
VoteHub
Tilt R
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
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The New Republic · Yesterday
Exclusive: Wes Moore Bets on Bi-Partisanship in a Divisive Age
Is bipartisanship a lost art, or have we simply grown too disillusioned with establishment leaders to recognize a bridge-builder when we see one? Near sacred ground in Oklahoma City — blocks from the site of the deadliest act of domestic terrorism on Ameri…
The Root · August 6, 2026
Nevada gubernatorial race shapes up as bellwether for GOP heading into 2028
Nevada’s primaries have resulted in a face-off between incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo and Democratic nominee Attorney General Aaron Ford.
Abcnews.com · June 10, 2026
Nevada Attorney General Wins Democratic Gubernatorial Primary
Aaron Ford, Nevada’s attorney general, has prevailed over a crowded field of Democrats to face off against first-term Governor Joe Lombardo, a Republican, in a race that will test voters’ willingness to back President Donald Trump’s economic agenda in the mid…
Financial Post · June 10, 2026
Live Results: Nevada midterm primaries - PBS
Live Results: Nevada midterm primariesPBS Election Day live updates: SOS erroneously releases election resultsThe Nevada Independent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo to face off against Democrat Aaron Ford in Nevada’s race for governorNBC News Nevada GOP Gov. Joe…
Slashdot.org · June 10, 2026
Diddy's Bodyguard, Ex-Mayor of Vegas and Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo Among High-Profile Witnesses Set to Testify at Tupac Murder Trial
Duane 'Keefe D' Davis has been charged with arranging the Las Vegas drive-by shooting that took the life of the rap legend nearly 30 years ago.
Radaronline.com · Yesterday
Booing erupts at highly inappropriate moment during Nevada governor's speech, leaving the lawmaker furious
The stunning moment happened as Gov. Joe Lombardo, a Republican, spoke ahead of a Donald Trump rally on Wednesday at the Red Rock Resort on the outskirts of Las Vegas.
Dailymail.com · Yesterday
The thin blue line encounters an unfamiliar last name
Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo said the name "Officer Abdelnabi." Trump supporters booed. Lombardo had to explain that Abdelnabi was the Las Vegas police officer killed the day before. So much for "back the blue." Lombardo was paying tribute to Austin Abdelnabi whe…
Boing Boing · August 6, 2026