Democratic
Jerri Green
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Tennessee governor election, 2026
Jerri Green vs. Marsha Blackburn. Term-limited.
VotePredictor forecast
Marsha Blackburn favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+19.3
96%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 3 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Marsha Blackburn
Sitting U.S. Senator. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Misam Abidi · Independent
- Santiago Asconape · Independent
- Dean Brewer · Independent
- Ray Brown · Independent
- Taylor Hafley · Independent
- David Hatley · Independent
- Wendell Jackson · Independent
- Charles Van Morgan · Independent
- Eddie Lee Murphy · Independent
- Lauren Pinkston · Independent
- Karl Smithson · Independent
- L. Webb Taylor · Independent
- Robert Vick · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| TargetSmart | 2026-09-12 | R+9.0 |
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-08-26 | R+13.0 |
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-04-27 | R+24.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid R
as of Sep. 17, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Sep. 17., 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Sep. 3, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Sep. 22, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Sep. 17, 2026
DDHQ
Likely R
as of Sep. 17, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Tennessee election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Tennessee Poll: Marsha Blackburn Has Commanding Lead in Governor's Race
A new poll from the Beacon Center in Tennessee finds Republican Sen. Marsha Blackburn is well on her way to the Governor's Mansion in two months. Blackburn leads Democrat Jerri Green in the race to succeed two-term Gov. Bill Lee, with a 55 percent to 34 perce…
Breitbart News · September 3, 2026
As governor, Jerri Green wants to erase your medical debt | Opinion
No Tennessean should have to choose between getting the medical care they need and keeping a roof over their family's head. But on the campaign trail, I have heard too many stories from people who were forced into exactly that impossible choice. I have met Te…
Biztoc.com · August 19, 2026
Sen. Marsha Blackburn Wins Republican Primary For Tennessee Governor, Defeating Fellow Trump Ally
She’s expected to face Memphis City Councilor Jerri Green in the general election this fall.
HuffPost · August 7, 2026
Live results: Jerri Green will win Democratic gubernatorial nomination in Tennessee, CNN projects | CNN Politics
State Rep. Justin Pearson will win the Democratic nomination for Tennessee’s newly redrawn 9th District, CNN’s Decision Desk projects.
CNN · August 7, 2026
Braindead Sen. Blackburn: The Commies Are Coming!
On Fox Business, Sen. Marsha Blackburn tried to smear Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed, but confused political ideologies and doesn't understand what communism means except as a phrase she can mouth off about in an attempt to be clever. She failed mise…
Crooksandliars.com · September 17, 2026
Marsha Blackburn didn't say she would bring back school segregation in Tennessee if elected governor
While this claim is false, the U.S. senator has long been an opponent of DEI initiatives and critical race theory in schools.
Snopes.com · September 12, 2026
What All the AI Spending in This Ohio District Race Is Really About
The artificial intelligence industry is homing in on Ohio’s 7th congressional district race. Several super PACs with financial ties to Anthropic, the company behind the AI assistant Claude, have invested heavily in the House race, ramping up fundraising for b…
The New Republic · September 11, 2026
Blackburn Blames Gas Prices And Inflation On Biden
Sen. Marsha Blackburn, who's hoping to become the next Governor of Tennessee, served up a big heaping helping of Biden Tourette syndrome when she was asked by Hannity guest host Kellyanne Conway about her party's message to voters for the midterms. Never mind…
Crooksandliars.com · August 22, 2026