Democratic
Jerri Green
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Tennessee governor election, 2026
Jerri Green vs. Marsha Blackburn. Term-limited.
VotePredictor forecast
Marsha Blackburn favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+18.1
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 3 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Marsha Blackburn
Sitting U.S. Senator. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Misam Abidi · Independent
- Santiago Asconape · Independent
- Dean Brewer · Independent
- Ray Brown · Independent
- Taylor Hafley · Independent
- David Hatley · Independent
- Wendell Jackson · Independent
- Charles Van Morgan · Independent
- Eddie Lee Murphy · Independent
- Lauren Pinkston · Independent
- Karl Smithson · Independent
- L. Webb Taylor · Independent
- Robert Vick · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| TargetSmart | 2026-09-12 | R+9.0 |
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-08-26 | R+13.0 |
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-04-27 | R+24.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid R
as of Oct. 13, 2026
DDHQ
Likely R
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct. 6, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct. 1, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Oct. 12, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct. 13, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Tennessee election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
The Right Way to Handle the Death Penalty
Politics / October 2, 2026 The Right Way to Handle the Death Penalty Even before her state botched another execution, gubernatorial candidate Jerri Green was telling Tennesseans that “the death penalty has always been inhumane, expensive, and…
Thenation.com · October 2, 2026
Tennessee Poll: Marsha Blackburn Has Commanding Lead in Governor's Race
A new poll from the Beacon Center in Tennessee finds Republican Sen. Marsha Blackburn is well on her way to the Governor's Mansion in two months. Blackburn leads Democrat Jerri Green in the race to succeed two-term Gov. Bill Lee, with a 55 percent to 34 perce…
Breitbart News · September 3, 2026
As governor, Jerri Green wants to erase your medical debt | Opinion
No Tennessean should have to choose between getting the medical care they need and keeping a roof over their family's head. But on the campaign trail, I have heard too many stories from people who were forced into exactly that impossible choice. I have met Te…
Biztoc.com · August 19, 2026
Sen. Marsha Blackburn Wins Republican Primary For Tennessee Governor, Defeating Fellow Trump Ally
She’s expected to face Memphis City Councilor Jerri Green in the general election this fall.
HuffPost · August 7, 2026
Live results: Jerri Green will win Democratic gubernatorial nomination in Tennessee, CNN projects | CNN Politics
State Rep. Justin Pearson will win the Democratic nomination for Tennessee’s newly redrawn 9th District, CNN’s Decision Desk projects.
CNN · August 7, 2026
She’s Definitely Not Like Us: Senator Marsha Blackburn Dragged For Cringe Kendrick Lamar AI-Slop Video
GOP Sen. Marsha Blackburn, who is currently running for Governor of Tennessee, is being swamped with well-deserved backlash after she shared AI-generated slop featuring herself as Kendrick Lamar performing his iconic Drake diss, "Not Like Us," flanked by Rep.…
Hip-Hop Wired · Yesterday
Marsha Blackburn Takes 'AI Cringe' To New Heights With Bonkers Kendrick Lamar Video
Tennessee GOP Sen. Marsha Blackburn, who is running for governor, shared the bizarre video on social media.
HuffPost · Yesterday
'Almost Manic': Trump's Bizarre Jaw Movements Leave Clinical Psychologist Unsettled
Over the weekend, Trump held another rally, this time in Clarksville, TN, as part of his desperate, last-ditch effort to bolster his foundering party ahead of the midterm elections -- an event one clinical and forensic psychologist has called a "wild thing to…
Crooksandliars.com · October 12, 2026