Democratic
Jerri Green
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Tennessee governor election, 2026
Jerri Green vs. Marsha Blackburn. Term-limited.
VotePredictor forecast
Marsha Blackburn favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+32.3
98%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 1 matched poll. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Marsha Blackburn
Sitting U.S. Senator. Voting record and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Misam Abidi · Independent
- Santiago Asconape · Independent
- Dean Brewer · Independent
- Ray Brown · Independent
- Taylor Hafley · Independent
- David Hatley · Independent
- Wendell Jackson · Independent
- Charles Van Morgan · Independent
- Eddie Lee Murphy · Independent
- Lauren Pinkston · Independent
- Karl Smithson · Independent
- L. Webb Taylor · Independent
- Robert Vick · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-04-27 | R+24.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid R
IE
Solid R
Sabato
Safe R
WH
Safe R
RCP
Solid R
Fox
Solid R
VoteHub
Solid R
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Candidate news
Sen. Marsha Blackburn Wins Republican Primary For Tennessee Governor, Defeating Fellow Trump Ally
She’s expected to face Memphis City Councilor Jerri Green in the general election this fall.
HuffPost · Yesterday
Live results: Jerri Green will win Democratic gubernatorial nomination in Tennessee, CNN projects | CNN Politics
State Rep. Justin Pearson will win the Democratic nomination for Tennessee’s newly redrawn 9th District, CNN’s Decision Desk projects.
CNN · Yesterday
Trump’s Grip on GOP Slips Again With Tennessee Loss
Trump’s grip on GOP slips again with Tennessee House primary loss. A Republican gerrymander accidentally took down the fiery Islamophobe Andy Ogles, despite Trump’s backing. Gubernatorial candidate Marsha Blackburn was luckier.
New York Magazine · Yesterday
Tennessee Is Poised to Get Its First Female Governor
Unfortunately, that will probably be Marsha Blackburn.
Jezebel · Yesterday
US Sen. Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governor - USA Today
US Sen. Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governorUSA Today See more headlines & perspectives on Google News ...
Slashdot.org · Yesterday
Blackburn Wins Republican Nomination for Tennessee Governor - nytimes.com
Blackburn Wins Republican Nomination for Tennessee Governornytimes.com US Sen. Marsha Blackburn wins GOP nomination for Tennessee governorUSA Today Conservative firebrand who went viral with anti-CCP ad survives key primaryFox News Three Democratic candidates…
Slashdot.org · Yesterday
Blackburn advances to general election, first woman to win party nomination
Blackburn advances to general election, first woman to win party nomination Despite polls predicting a tight race, U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn easily beats two Republican opponents By J. Holly McCall - August 6, 2026 8:42 pm U.S. Sen.Marsha Blackburn, photogra…
Freerepublic.com · Yesterday