Democratic
Mike Levin
Incumbent representative for CA-49. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 49 election, 2026
Mike Levin vs. Armen Kurdian on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Mike Levin favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+11.3
95%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+7.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Armen Kurdian
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-49. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-49; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
'How Cruel': Child Advocates Rip Trump's Plan to Gut Head Start
Advocates for early education and vulnerable children are denouncing a new rule issued Thursday by the administration of President Donald Trump that would severely weaken the Head Start program relied on by families and communities nationwide."At a time when …
Common Dreams · Yesterday
Top Finance Committee Democrat Rips Trump's New Canada Tariffs as 'Yet Another Shakedown'
Critics are piling on President Donald Trump for once again picking a fight with the United States' top trading partner by moving to slap 50% tariffs on certain imported Canadian goods.Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), ranking member of the Senate Finance Committee, s…
Common Dreams · July 21, 2026
'Canada gave us a free bridge': California Congressman adds voice to open the Gordie Howe bridge chorus
'There's a brand new bridge between Detroit and Canada that is finished, it's ready, and it's sitting there empty because Donald Trump will not let it open,' says Mike Levin
National Post · July 1, 2026
Congressman pinpoints alarming election comment Trump made 'out loud': 'Becomes a crime'
Rep. Mike Levin (D-Calif.) warned this week that President Donald Trump has openly acknowledged directing federal prosecutors to investigate elections whose results he dislikes — a statement the congressman argued the president made plainly and even boasted a…
Raw Story · June 28, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗