Minnesota District 2 election, 2026

Democratic nominee TBD vs. Eric Pratt.

VotePredictor forecast

Democrat favored

Likely D · predicted margin D+12.0

94%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

D+6.0

2026 national environment

D+6.6

District polls

none

Forecast spread

±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Republican

Eric Pratt

Candidate currently listed in the 2026 field.

Other listed candidates

Matt Little · DFL

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MN-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MN-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in Minnesota's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

2022Angie Craig(D)D+5.2

2020Angie Craig(D)D+2.3

2018Angie Craig(D)D+5.5

2016Jason Lewis(R)R+1.8

2014John Kline(R)R+17.2

2012John Kline(R)R+8.2

2006John Kline(R)R+16.1

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: MN-1 · MN-3